Will Donald Trump serve time under House Arrest before 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump serve time under House Arrest before 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 98.8% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will Donald Trump serve time under House Arrest before 2027? resolve?

Will Donald Trump serve time under House Arrest before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.

How is Will Donald Trump serve time under House Arrest before 2027? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Trump is placed under house arrest as a result of a criminal conviction or as a result of a plea deal.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-1.0pt94.1%
• 25 bps increase+1.0pt5.9%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$66.8M

24h Vol

$4.4M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.3pt90.3%
• Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%

Total Vol

$71.4M

24h Vol

$1.9M

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+1.0pt92.1%
• Republican Party-1.0pt7.9%

Total Vol

$22.9M

24h Vol

$1.6M

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 24-0.3pt99%
• October 28+2.5pt92%
• October 31+2.0pt85%

+17 more outcomes

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-2.0pt63.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+2.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+2.0pt64.5%
• Ken Paxton-1.0pt35.5%

Total Vol

$42.4M

24h Vol

$1.3M

• Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
• Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
• Presidential Election Winner 2028
• Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
• 2028 Republican presidential nominee
• 2026 Texas Senate Race
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
• What will Trump say this week?
• California Governor winner? (Person)
• Minnesota Senate winner?
• Texas Senate Election Winner