FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 98%
No 98%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$439.7
Low liquidityTraders
28
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Number of refineries controlled by Petrobras at the end of Lula's term?
FutuurMST land invasions by the end of Lula’s term
FutuurBy the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Petrobras, Banco do Brasil or Caixa Economica Federal be privatized until EOY 2026?
Manifold Markets🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Petrobrás is included in the National Destatization Program between the beginning of Luís Inácio Lula da Silva's presidential term (in January 2023) and the day he permanently leaves office (regardless of whether that happens at the scheduled end of his full term in January 2027 or sooner for any reason).
- If the National Destatization Program gets extinguished or substituted by an equivalent governmental mechanism, Futuur’s staff will reserve itself the right to evaluate to what extent that condition is met.
- If none of the market’s conditions are met, this market will be canceled and all active wagers will be returned to their respective forecasters.
