Will any of Petrobras, Banco do Brasil or Caixa Economica Federal be privatized until EOY 2026?
RegulationOne-OffElectionCentral BanksPoliticsBusiness & CorporateCorporate ActionsLatin America2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.5%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 25, 24, 9:21 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Petrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term?
FutuurNumber of refineries controlled by Petrobras at the end of Lula's term?
FutuurWill Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the USPS be privatized by the end of Trump's term as president?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States Postal Service be Privatized before the end of 2032?
Manifold MarketsMacron leads EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsRules
Folha de São Paulo, one of Brazil's largest newspapers, recently published an editorial advocating for the privatization of 3 of Brazil's most notable state-owned enterprises: The Brazilian Petroleum Corporation (Petrobras), the Bank of Brazil (Banco do Brasil) and the Federal Saving Bank (Caixa Econômica Federal)
- The article can be read here: https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/opiniao/2024/08/privatizar-petrobras-caixa-e-banco-do-brasil.shtml
- Over the past decades, Brazil has been gradually reducing the importance of state-owned enterprises in its economy.
- This process has both its supporters and detractors.
- These 3 specific companies have been seen as "core" SOEs and their privatization would mean a very important victory of the anti-state factions in this debate.
- This market resolves YES if, until the end of 2026 (coinciding with the end of Lula's presidential mandate) the government has made an official declaration that any of these 3 corporations will be privatized.
