
Unverified resolution data: Luiz Inácio Lula (99%)
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 2:31 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Brazilian presidential election second round be annulled?
Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Jair Bolsonaro ever be a candidate again for any Brazilian presidential election?
Brazilian STF justice removed by impeachment by end of 2027?
Brazilian corn crop to reach all-time high in 2026/27?
Rules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2026 presidential election in Brazil.
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