Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election??

Manifold Markets prices Flávio Bolsonaro at 35.9% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election? resolve?

Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election? is scheduled to resolve on January 6, 2031.

How is Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2030 Brazilian presidential election.

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POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro-0.4pt79%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva21%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$197.2M

24h Vol

$3M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+1.0pt64.5%
• Ken Paxton-1.0pt35.5%

Total Vol

$41.5M

24h Vol

$2.1M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.5pt90.5%
• Republican Party+0.5pt9.4%

Total Vol

$69.8M

24h Vol

$1.7M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep65.7%
• R Senate, D25.5%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$36.9M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%+9.0pt48%
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%-5.5pt27.4%
• Lula da Silva <4%-1.0pt17.6%

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt64.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep

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