Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the Brazilian presidential runoff on October 25, 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionLatin AmericaManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (96%)
Resolved: Oct 29, 2026, 1:05 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:47 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by which date?
PolymarketLula to finish his presidential term?
FutuurPetrobras' privatization to begin by the end of Lula's term?
FutuurRules
Resolution is based on Official Brazilian election authority results.
