Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastLula 63.5%-0.5%Leader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
66
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jan 27, 24, 1:53 AMOct 25, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Lula64%
Compare venues· Lula
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 64% | — | — | — | 21 minutes ago | |
 PredictIt70% match · auto | — | 55% | — | — | — | 21 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on PredictIt
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1y
55%
30%
1%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$78Jul 159d of dataJul 26
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.