Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
0.1 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Lula 52.9%+0.1ptLeader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
69
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-1.9 pts
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jan 27, 24, 1:53 AM UTCOct 25, 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on PredictIt — Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Flávio Bolsonaro 52%
