Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??

Manifold Markets prices No at 83% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? resolve?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026.

How is Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:

Where else is Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? listed?

The same question is also listed on Futuur.

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POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-1.0pt65.3%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt25.7%
• Republicans Sweep7.9%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$36.9M

24h Vol

$3.6M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro+1.9pt79.2%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt20.8%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$196.3M

24h Vol

$2.9M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-2.0pt63.5%
• Ken Paxton+1.0pt36.5%

Total Vol

$41M

24h Vol

$2M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.9pt90.5%
• Republican Party+0.7pt9.6%

Total Vol

$69.5M

24h Vol

$1.7M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%+4.0pt43.1%
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%-2.5pt31.4%
• Lula da Silva <4%-3.0pt16.7%

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+3.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep

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