Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Winner in Rio de Janeiro City
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Lula
Resolved: Oct 26, 2026, 5:05 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Lula
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
5%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 11:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Flavio Bolsonaro6%
Lula99%
LulaWon
Flavio BolsonaroLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Brazilian presidential election second round be annulled?
Manifold Markets🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Manifold Markets🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Manifold Markets2027 French Presidential Election second round: Attal vs Bardella?
Manifold MarketsMargin of victory in the 2026 Brazil Presidential election runoff?
PredictItRules
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro (Rio de Janeiro state).
- Only valid votes cast at polling places in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro, as reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) for that municipality, will count.
- Votes cast abroad will not count.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
