Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

1.0% (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffPolitics US Politics Macro & Economy Election5mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

Before Jan 1, 2027 30%-1.0%

Market quality

72 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$25

Liquidity

$143.8K

High liquidity

Bid / Ask

30.0% / 31.0%

Spread

3.3%

Moderate spread

Market data

Updated 20 minutes ago

May 10, 26, 10:30 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 202730%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

Volume trend

$25

Jul 223d of dataJul 26

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Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

1.0% (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffPolitics US Politics Macro & Economy Election5mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

Before Jan 1, 2027 30%-1.0%

Market quality

72 / 100

Medium quality

24h Volume

$25

Liquidity

$143.8K

High liquidity

Bid / Ask

30.0% / 31.0%

Spread

3.3%

Moderate spread

Market data

Updated 20 minutes ago

May 10, 26, 10:30 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 202730%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

Volume trend

$25

Jul 223d of dataJul 26

Related Markets

Will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve be 500M barrels of oil or more at the end of 2027?

$91.2

Yes: 13.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Is the US government the mystery oil futures seller?

$20

Yes: 16.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS