PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityNovember 2 37%-2.0%
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$20K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.1% / 4.8%
Spread
54.8%
Wide spread7d Change
-8.1%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
May 12, 26, 5:43 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
November 237%
Also available on Kalshi
Will the federal gas tax be suspended?
5.0%6mo
-5.0%33%
4%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.2K
24h Vol$85.1
KALSHIRules
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S.
- Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S.
- Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.