Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 34%
Forecasters
435
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Oct 25, 25, 7:38 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes34%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
3mo
66%
35%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$3.6M
24h Vol$507.6
POLYMARKET
Also available on Kalshi
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
4.0%1y
66%
-4.0%34%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$587.7K
24h Vol$2.1K
KALSHIRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$123Jul 814d of dataJul 26
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.