Will The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionBusiness & Corporate2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 29, 26, 6:49 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves Yes if it passes, Resolves no if it is on the ballot and fails, and resolves n/a if it doesn’t appear on the ballot.
- https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcabillionairetax/will-california-have-a-billionaire-tax-referendum/kxcabillionairetax-26nov03
- I will use Kalshi to decide if it is on the ballot.
- I can resolve n/a early before the end of the year if it is impossible to appear on the ballot.