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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Trump out as President by June 30?
Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

One-OffPoliticsUS Politics18d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 1%
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$48.1K

Liquidity

$409.3K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

0.6% / 0.7%

Spread

16.7%

Wide spread
7d Change

-0.6%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Mar 11, 26, 4:25 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes1%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • Only permanent removal from office will qualify.
  • Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
  • A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • Only permanent removal from office will qualify.
  • Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
  • A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.