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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. When will FISA be reauthorized again?
When will FISA be reauthorized again?

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

13.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before Jun 13, 2026
Before Jun 13, 2026 17%-13.0%
Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.6K

Liquidity

$1.8K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

16.0% / 17.0%

Spread

6.3%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

May 1, 26, 4:00 PMJun 13, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before Jun 13, 202617%

Rules

If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority has become law after Issuance and Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

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Rules

If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority has become law after Issuance and Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.