Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Xavier Becerra 94.6%Leader of 23 outcomes
Forecasters
198
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 4, 24, 12:46 AM UTCJul 11, 27, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.4%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
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0%
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Gavin Newsom is term-limited and cannot seek re-election as California governor in 2026.
- Who will replace him?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom??
- Manifold Markets prices Xavier Becerra at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom? resolve?
- Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom? is scheduled to resolve on July 11, 2027.
- How is Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Gavin Newsom is term-limited and cannot seek re-election as California governor in 2026.