Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 97.5%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleJun 28, 24, 7:30 AM UTCJan 6, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom completes his second term as Governor of California, which is scheduled to end on January 5, 2027.
- The market resolves to "No" if he leaves office for any reason before this date, including resignation, impeachment, or removal.
- Resolution Criteria
- Yes: Gavin Newsom remains Governor of California until January 5, 2027.
- No: Gavin Newsom leaves office before January 5, 2027.
- Resolution Sources
