Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 97.5%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJun 28, 24, 7:30 AM UTCJan 6, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom completes his second term as Governor of California, which is scheduled to end on January 5, 2027.
- The market resolves to "No" if he leaves office for any reason before this date, including resignation, impeachment, or removal.
- Resolution Criteria
- Yes: Gavin Newsom remains Governor of California until January 5, 2027.
- No: Gavin Newsom leaves office before January 5, 2027.
- Resolution Sources
Open markets
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+45 more outcomes
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- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
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+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California? resolve?
- Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California? is scheduled to resolve on January 6, 2027.
- How is Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom completes his second term as Governor of California, which is scheduled to end on January 5, 2027.