Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
2026 · —
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Stored reference
2026 12%
2026 12%Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$208.7
Liquidity
$14K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$9.5K
Bid / Ask
— / —
2026Spread
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Comments
11
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 27, 25, 5:52 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
2025Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 2026
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy? · Before Oct 1, 2027 75%
