Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82.6%
Forecasters
44
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 25, 23, 4:00 PM UTCNov 1, 70, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Gavin Newsom become president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom become president by 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom ever become the Democratic nominee for president?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the next Democrat to become President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurRules
This will resolve to YES when Gavin Newsom becomes President of the USA.
- This will resolve to NO when it is no longer technically possible
