KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 4.000 (81%)
Resolved: Jul 20, 2026, 12:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 20, 2026, 6:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Probability Timeline
Above 4.0202%
Above 4.0106%
Above 4.0303%
Above 4.00087%
Above 3.99090%
Above 4.0504%
Above 4.0403%
Above 4.00838%
Above 4.00446%
Above 4.00269%
Above 3.990Lost
Above 3.980Lost
Above 3.760Lost
Above 3.900Lost
Above 3.860Lost
Above 3.880Lost
Above 3.960Lost
Above 3.840Lost
Above 3.920Lost
Above 3.780Lost
Above 3.820Lost
Above 3.800Lost
Above 3.940Lost
Above 4.000Won
Above 4.002Lost
Above 4.004Lost
Above 4.006Lost
Above 4.008Lost
Above 4.020Lost
Above 4.010Lost
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.760 on Jul 20, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.780 on Jul 20, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.800 on Jul 20, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.820 on Jul 20, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.840 on Jul 20, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.860 on Jul 20, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
