KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
105¢ or above · —
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Stored price
90¢ or above 56%Market line of 9 lines
90¢ or above 56%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6K
Open interest
$617.7
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
105¢ or aboveSpread
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Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 8:00 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · 105¢ or above
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill Century Aluminum's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 0.7 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the official final settlement price of CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures (AUP), November 2026 contract, as published by CME Group, is at least 90 U.S. cents per pound at the final settlement of the November 2026 AUP contract, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CME Group - Aluminum Midwest Premium (AUP)
- The Underlying is the official final settlement price for the November 2026 CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures contract (AUP). This final settlement is the benchmark used for the month's average Midwest premium. Use the specified contract month, not a continuous or front-month quote. Convert CME's U.S. dollars-per-pound value to U.S. cents per pound by multiplying by 100, without additional rounding. The market resolves to Yes if this value is greater than or equal to its threshold. An intramonth price touching the threshold does not determine this market. Corrections, delayed publication and fallback procedures follow the COMMODITIES contract terms, including the qualifying 24-hour correction provision. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the CME Group. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- 105¢ or above
- If the official final settlement price of CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures (AUP), November 2026 contract, as published by CME Group, is at least 105 U.S. cents per pound at the final settlement of the November 2026 AUP contract, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 85¢ or above
- If the official final settlement price of CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures (AUP), November 2026 contract, as published by CME Group, is at least 85 U.S. cents per pound at the final settlement of the November 2026 AUP contract, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 80¢ or above
- If the official final settlement price of CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures (AUP), November 2026 contract, as published by CME Group, is at least 80 U.S. cents per pound at the final settlement of the November 2026 AUP contract, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 75¢ or above
- If the official final settlement price of CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures (AUP), November 2026 contract, as published by CME Group, is at least 75 U.S. cents per pound at the final settlement of the November 2026 AUP contract, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 70¢ or above
- If the official final settlement price of CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures (AUP), November 2026 contract, as published by CME Group, is at least 70 U.S. cents per pound at the final settlement of the November 2026 AUP contract, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 90¢ or above
- If the official final settlement price of CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures (AUP), November 2026 contract, as published by CME Group, is at least 90 U.S. cents per pound at the final settlement of the November 2026 AUP contract, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 110¢ or above
- If the official final settlement price of CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures (AUP), November 2026 contract, as published by CME Group, is at least 110 U.S. cents per pound at the final settlement of the November 2026 AUP contract, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 95¢ or above
- If the official final settlement price of CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures (AUP), November 2026 contract, as published by CME Group, is at least 95 U.S. cents per pound at the final settlement of the November 2026 AUP contract, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 100¢ or above
- If the official final settlement price of CME Aluminum MW U.S. Transaction Premium Platts (25MT) futures (AUP), November 2026 contract, as published by CME Group, is at least 100 U.S. cents per pound at the final settlement of the November 2026 AUP contract, then the market resolves to Yes.
