Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 400 USD/t on December 31, 2026?
CommoditiesDailyChina3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 56.9%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleApr 7, 26, 2:19 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceeds 400 USD/t on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Premium petroleum needle coke spot price, China domestic market, on the settlement date.
- YES if: Premium needle coke China price >= 400 USD per tonne on December 31, 2026 NO if: Premium needle coke China price < 400 USD per tonne on December 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Asian Metal needle coke prices (asianmetal.com)
- Argus Media petroleum needle coke assessment (argusmedia.com)
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 400 USD/t on December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 400 USD/t on December 31, 2026? resolve?
- Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 400 USD/t on December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 400 USD/t on December 31, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves YES if premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceeds 400 USD/t on December 31, 2026.