KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above -25000 95%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.3K
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 10, 25, 3:00 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 1:14 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
ADP employment change in Nov 2026?
KalshiADP employment change in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 50,000 in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US be at full employment in December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -382,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -482,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the ADP Employment Change in Oct 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ADP
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+2.5pt96%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $995.5K
- 24h Vol
- $795K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.0pt96%
- 65-89-29.9pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199+1.0pt19.8%
- 160-179+5.0pt18.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.8%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt79%
- Apple-0.6pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
- Above 90.0 TWh95%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $137.5K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $220.5K
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- What will Chewy say during their next earnings call?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Chewy active customers in Q2
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for ADP employment change in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi prices Above -25000 at 95% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does ADP employment change in Oct 2026? resolve?
- ADP employment change in Oct 2026? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.
- How is ADP employment change in Oct 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the ADP Employment Change in Oct 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.