Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 23, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 35.7%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleJun 19, 26, 3:10 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes36%
Volume trend
$20Jul 222d of dataJul 23
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Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?
$589.1Above 60,000: 63%
KALSHI
KALSHIJobs numbers in Nov 2026?
$0Above -25,000: 84%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.