KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 2,000 units · —
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Stored price
Above 3,500 units 49.5%Market line of 11 lines
Above 3,500 units 49.5%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$61.8
Open interest
$22.4K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 2,000 unitsSpread
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Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Oct 14, 26, 2:30 PM UTCMay 3, 27, 11:54 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 2,000 units
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
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Manifold MarketsHow many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?
KalshiWill Connecticut’s minimum wage exceed $18.00 per hour on January 1, 2028?
KalshiRules
If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 3,500 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Census Bureau
- For this market, “multifamily” means housing units in structures containing 5 units or more, corresponding to the BPS column labeled “5 Units or More.” Units in 2-unit and 3–4-unit structures will not be included. The Underlying is the final annual 2026 estimate for Connecticut published by the U.S. Census Bureau, not monthly or year-to-date estimates.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 2,000 units
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2,500 units
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,500 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3,000 units
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 3,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3,500 units
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 3,500 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4,000 units
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 4,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4,500 units
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 4,500 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5,000 units
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 5,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5,500 units
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 5,500 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6,000 units
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 6,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6,500 units
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 6,500 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7,000 units
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Connecticut in structures with 5 units or more in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 7,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes.