Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 68.5%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 29, 25, 2:11 AM UTCMar 31, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025 iff Zohran wins? (Or less housing if he doesn't.)
Manifold MarketsWhich CA governors will build more housing in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
KalshiWill Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?
KalshiWill New York City still be in a legally declared rental housing emergency by April 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill housing prices in Arlington VA fall by more then 15% in two years.
Manifold MarketsRules
Completed units, as reported by the planning department.
- 33,974 units were built in 2024.
- https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/1c9138dc24064b2e8142ff156345a719
- https://www.nyc.gov/content/planning/pages/resources?search=housingdatabase#datasets
- https://www.osc.ny.gov/files/reports/pdf/report-24-2025.pdf
- Specific forecasts:
