KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 85%
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 27.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
May 15, 26, 4:30 PM UTCJan 18, 27, 1:14 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the total number of Canada housing starts is above 300K in any monthly release covering January 2026 through December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The relevant statistic is the headline monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts for Canada, expressed in units, as reported on Trading Economics’ Canada Housing Starts page and sourced from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation.
- For clarity, the market will use the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate for all areas in Canada, not actual monthly starts, year-to-date starts, the six-month moving average trend, urban-only starts, provincial starts, or the calendar-year total number of starts.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 85% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026? resolve?
- Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 18, 2027.
- How is Will Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the total number of Canada housing starts is above 300K in any monthly release covering January 2026 through December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
