KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 1.100M 92%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$600
Liquidity
$624
Low liquiditySpread
11.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 20, 26, 12:29 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will US Housing Starts exceed 1,400,000 in September 2026? (Real estate)?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,200,000 in September 2026? (Real estate)?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,300,000 in September 2026? (Real estate)?
ForecastExWill Canada housing starts go above 300K in 2026?
KalshiWhat will Fed Gov Barr say during his housing affordability address?
KalshiConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
KalshiRules
If US housing starts for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The Underlying is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for September 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics).
- If the September 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the September 2026 Housing Starts value.
Open markets
Macro & EconomyKALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+7.0pt89%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+7.0pt79%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.9K
- 24h Vol
- $31.3K
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60-19.0pt60%
- Above $4.80-13.0pt48%
- Above $5.00-1.0pt38%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Total Vol
- $3.2M
- 24h Vol
- $13.2K
KALSHI30-year mortgage rate this week
- Above 6.94%97%
- Above 6.95%96%
- Above 6.96%93%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.2K
- 24h Vol
- $12.7K
KALSHIHow high will gas prices in California get this year?
- Above $6.20+2.0pt87%
- Above $6.40+12.0pt85%
- Above $6.60+16.0pt61%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIUS building permits for September
- Above 1.250M+1.0pt97%
- Above 1.300M-4.0pt86%
- Above 1.400M+5.0pt29%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will Michigan auto manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
- Nevada visitor volume in 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US housing starts for September?
- Kalshi prices Above 1.100M at 92% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does US housing starts for September resolve?
- US housing starts for September is scheduled to resolve on October 20, 2026.
- How is US housing starts for September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If US housing starts for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.