Above 156,600 jobs
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 76.5%
No 76.5%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$600
Open interest
$5.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 8:00 PM UTCApr 30, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Resolution will sum the 2026 annual-average values for BLS series SMU26000003133610001 and SMU26000003133630001. Both are measured in thousands of jobs and are not seasonally adjusted. The 156.6-thousand threshold is fixed. This definition does not include Motor Vehicle Body and Trailer Manufacturing (NAICS 3362), because BLS does not publish that statewide Michigan CES series separately.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.