KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 93%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
96.0% / 97.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 8:00 PM UTCApr 30, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If BLS reports that Minnesota’s annual-average employment in Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing for 2026 is above 18,200 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The Underlying is BLS series SMU27000003133910001, All Employees in Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing in Minnesota, measured in thousands and not seasonally adjusted.
- The 18.2 thousand-job threshold is fixed and will not change if BLS later revises its 2025 value.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $354.3K
- 24h Vol
- $354.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+4.0pt50%
- 65-89+27.0pt47.1%
- 90-114-2.4pt2.9%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-219-1.0pt18.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.2pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Minnesota medical-device manufacturing jobs rise YoY??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Minnesota medical-device manufacturing jobs rise YoY? resolve?
- Will Minnesota medical-device manufacturing jobs rise YoY? is scheduled to resolve on April 30, 2027.
- How is Will Minnesota medical-device manufacturing jobs rise YoY? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If BLS reports that Minnesota’s annual-average employment in Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing for 2026 is above 18,200 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.