KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 83%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$212.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
20.0% / 21.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 4:00 PM UTCMar 31, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
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LimitlessRules
If BLS reports that Oregon's employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for December 2026 is above 26,400 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The Underlying is BLS series SMU41000003133440001, measured in thousands of jobs and not seasonally adjusted.
- Exactly 26.4 thousand resolves No. Use the value published following BLS’s annual benchmark revision; subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Oregon semiconductor manufacturing jobs rise YoY??
- Kalshi prices No at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Oregon semiconductor manufacturing jobs rise YoY? resolve?
- Will Oregon semiconductor manufacturing jobs rise YoY? is scheduled to resolve on March 31, 2027.
- How is Will Oregon semiconductor manufacturing jobs rise YoY? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If BLS reports that Oregon's employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for December 2026 is above 26,400 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.