KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
5.18% or above 99%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.2K
Liquidity
$6K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 7:30 PM UTCSep 21, 26, 7:30 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiWill the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketRules
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 21, 2026, or one week following Sep 21, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.17% on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.21% on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.23% on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Bonds & TreasuriesKALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- 5.33% or above99%
- 5.34% or above99%
- 5.3% or above99%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18.8K
- 24h Vol
- $18.8K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- 5.01% or above+7.0pt99%
- 5% or above+10.0pt99%
- 5.02% or above91%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.4K
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 4.55% or above99%
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.53% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.5K
- 24h Vol
- $8.5K
KALSHI7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 4.75% or above99%
- 4.71% or above99%
- 4.73% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.1K
- 24h Vol
- $6.1K
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-3.1pt6%
- Below 4.73%-2.5pt5%
- Below 4.64%+0.1pt4%
+6 more outcomes
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- SOFR for September 18, 2026
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 5.18% or above at 99% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? resolve?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026.
- How is 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.