KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above $6.40 (99%)
Resolved: Sep 27, 2026, 1:57 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above $6.8029%
Above $6.6037%
Above $7.0016%
Above $7.408%
Above $7.608%
Above $7.2013%
Above $7.809%
Above $8.003%
Above $6.20Lost
Above $6.40Won
Above $6.60Lost
Above $6.80Lost
Above $7.00Lost
Above $7.20Lost
Above $7.80Lost
Above $7.40Lost
Above $7.60Lost
Above $8.00Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How low will gas prices in California get this year?
KalshiHow high will gas prices in Florida get this year?
KalshiHow high will gas prices in Texas get this year?
KalshiHow high will gas prices in New York get this year?
KalshiWill US gas prices hit $6/gallon in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill national gas prices in the US average above $3.60
Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.40 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.60 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $6.80 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $7.00 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for California are strictly greater than $7.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
