Will national gas prices in the US average above $3.60
PoliticsCommoditiesMonthlyMacro & EconomyElection1d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 99%
Forecasters
41
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMay 22, 26, 4:46 PM UTCOct 30, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Official bet with economist Justin Wolfers of the University of Michigan and Platypus Media about national gas prices.
- The bet has to do with the average price of gas in the US the Friday before election day, aka October 30th, 2026 (12pm est).
- I officially bet the average gas price (as dictated by GasBuddy) for the US will clock in above $3.60 a gallon, Justin bets the average price will come in below that.
- At stake: $200 each to be donated to a Platypus charity of Justin's choosing
- If your guess is the closest to the actual price, you will get free Platypus merch! (TBC - to be created)
