Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 24, 2026, 6:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastYes 86%
Forecasters
32
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleMay 22, 26, 4:46 PMOct 30, 26, 4:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes86%
Volume trend
$50Jul 812d of dataJul 24
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