KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 6.94% 97%+22.0ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10.3K
Liquidity
$5.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 5:00 PM UTCSep 24, 26, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
KalshiMortgage rates higher in 5 years?
Manifold MarketsFreddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold MarketsPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
KalshiRules
If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Sep 24, 2026 is above
Settles via:Freddie Mac
- 6.94%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Sep 24, 2026.
- For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday.
- The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET.
- This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week.
Open markets
Macro & EconomyKALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+7.0pt89%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+7.0pt79%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.9K
- 24h Vol
- $27.2K
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes+1.0pt8%
- Total Vol
- $3.2M
- 24h Vol
- $14.3K
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60-13.0pt62%
- Above $4.80-8.0pt53%
- Above $5.00-5.0pt39%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $13K
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 4.55% or above99%
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.63% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9.5K
- 24h Vol
- $9.5K
KALSHIUS building permits for September
- Above 1.250M+1.0pt97%
- Above 1.300M-1.0pt89%
- Above 1.400M+9.0pt38%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How high will gas prices in California get this year?
- Will the federal gas tax be suspended?
- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- Nevada visitor volume in 2026
- Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026
- Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
- Will Michigan auto manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 30-year mortgage rate this week?
- Kalshi prices Above 6.94% at 97% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does 30-year mortgage rate this week resolve?
- 30-year mortgage rate this week is scheduled to resolve on September 24, 2026.
- How is 30-year mortgage rate this week settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Sep 24, 2026 is above