KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 1.250M 97%+1.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$7.1K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 9:15 PM UTCOct 20, 26, 12:29 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will US Building Permits exceed 1,300,000 in September 2026? (Construction) (Housing) (Development) (Real estate)?
ForecastExWill US Building Permits exceed 1,400,000 in September 2026? (Construction) (Housing) (Development) (Real estate)?
ForecastExWill US Building Permits exceed 1,700,000 in September 2026? (Construction) (Housing) (Development) (Real estate)?
ForecastExConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
KalshiHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
KalshiWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
KalshiRules
If the value of US building permits (total units) for September 2026 is the named outcome (SAAR), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The Underlying is the first-published U.S. building permits value for September 2026, as released in the Census New Residential Construction report and reflected by Trading Economics on the initial release date.
- Later revised, final, or updated building permits releases, including the revised permits release approximately one week later, will not be used for resolution.
Open markets
Macro & EconomyKALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+7.0pt89%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+7.0pt79%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $131.9K
- 24h Vol
- $27.2K
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes+1.0pt8%
- Total Vol
- $3.2M
- 24h Vol
- $14.3K
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60-13.0pt62%
- Above $4.80-8.0pt53%
- Above $5.00-5.0pt39%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $13K
KALSHI30-year mortgage rate this week
- Above 6.94%+22.0pt97%
- Above 6.95%+28.0pt96%
- Above 6.96%+28.0pt93%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 4.55% or above99%
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.63% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $9.5K
- 24h Vol
- $9.5K
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How high will gas prices in California get this year?
- Will the federal gas tax be suspended?
- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- Nevada visitor volume in 2026
- Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026
- Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
- Will Michigan auto manufacturing jobs rise YoY?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US building permits for September?
- Kalshi prices Above 1.250M at 97% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does US building permits for September resolve?
- US building permits for September is scheduled to resolve on October 20, 2026.
- How is US building permits for September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the value of US building permits (total units) for September 2026 is the named outcome (SAAR), then the market resolves to Yes.