KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 205000 (99%)
Resolved: Oct 28, 2026, 8:52 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 205000
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 8:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 21000099%
Above 21500099%
Above 20000098%
Above 20500099%
Above 21700099%
Above 2250001%
Above 2200001%
Above 205000Won
Above 217000Lost
Above 215000Lost
Above 210000Lost
Above 200000Lost
Above 225000Lost
Above 220000Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Carvana Co. reports Above 205000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
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Rules for each outcome
- Above 205000
- If Carvana Co. reports Above 205000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 217000
- If Carvana Co. reports above 217000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 215000
- If Carvana Co. reports Above 215000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 210000
- If Carvana Co. reports Above 210000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 200000
- If Carvana Co. reports Above 200000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 225000
- If Carvana Co. reports Above 225000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 220000
- If Carvana Co. reports Above 220000 retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
