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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Which CA governors will build more housing in 2027?
Manifold Markets

Which CA governors will build more housing in 2027?

YearlyPoliticsUS Politics1y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Alex Padilla, more housing 0.3%
Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters

5

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 7 days ago

Stale
Oct 23, 25, 10:15 PMJan 31, 28, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Manifold Markets
Alex Padilla, more housing
0.3%

Selected outcome

Tom Steyer, more housing5%

Rules

This is election result x more housing in 2027 than 2026, from these underlying markets:

Manifold Markets
  • @/JuJumper/who-will-become-the-next-governor-o
  • @/EvanDaniel/will-california-authorize-more-hous-SnhQtqQcRI
  • Exact ties on housing resolves as "less" (trying to keep the outcome text concise...).
  • I'll add other outcomes if any candidates trade above 10% for an extended period.
  • (Ping me if additions are needed!)

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Rules

This is election result x more housing in 2027 than 2026, from these underlying markets:

Manifold Markets
  • @/JuJumper/who-will-become-the-next-governor-o
  • @/EvanDaniel/will-california-authorize-more-hous-SnhQtqQcRI
  • Exact ties on housing resolves as "less" (trying to keep the outcome text concise...).
  • I'll add other outcomes if any candidates trade above 10% for an extended period.
  • (Ping me if additions are needed!)