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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?
How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

YearlyPoliticsUS PoliticsElection6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Exactly 0
Exactly 0 15%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$14.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

8.0% / 15.0%

Spread

87.5%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Sep 16, 25, 9:00 PMDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Exactly 015%

Rules

If exactly 0 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win.
  • This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls.
  • Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses.
  • If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts.
  • Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group.

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Rules

If exactly 0 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win.
  • This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls.
  • Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses.
  • If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts.
  • Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group.