PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 97%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$8.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 3.9%
Spread
0.9 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 9:59 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes3%
Volume trend
$12Jul 611d of dataJul 24
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.