KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$198.1
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
3.9% / 12.0%
Spread
8.1 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Dec 11, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will the UK's social media ban take effect?
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Manifold MarketsAustralia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
If legislation banning social media use for children under 18 or any lower age threshold has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- A bill that allows parental consent to bypass the ban does not qualify.
- The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
- For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
- Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.