Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 14, 2026, 4:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 5.9%
Forecasters
110
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 days ago
StaleDec 10, 25, 3:28 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Volume trend
$50Jul 132d of dataJul 14
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