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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Europe
  3. When will the UK's social media ban take effect?
When will the UK's social media ban take effect?

When will the UK's social media ban take effect?

One-OffEuropeRegulationTech6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 41%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$3.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

12.0% / 13.0%

Spread

8.3%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Jun 16, 26, 1:06 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 202741%

Rules

If a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
  • Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
  • Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
  • If a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
  • Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
  • Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
  • If a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a UK ban on social media platforms offering accounts to users under age 16 is in effect after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.