KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:43 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Apr 1, 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before Apr 1, 2028 34%
Before Apr 1, 2028 34%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
— / —
Before Apr 1, 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 37 minutes ago
Aug 28, 26, 10:00 PM UTCOct 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Apr 1, 2028
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban?
KalshiAustralia reverses under-16 social media ban in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiUK social media ban in effect by which date?
PolymarketCanada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?
PolymarketUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiRules
If a social media ban for children has been enacted in the European Union after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the European Union Official Journal
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A social media ban for children means an EU-level measure prohibiting people below a stated age of 18 or lower from holding or accessing accounts on a class of social media platforms across the European Union. Parental consent must not bypass the prohibition for the barred age group; a separate consent-based tier for older children does not disqualify it. The following do NOT constitute enactment: Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Age verification, parental consent, platform safety requirements, content restrictions and Member-State-only laws do NOT qualify on their own. The prohibition must have legal effect, including completion of required waiting periods or implementation; adoption or publication alone does NOT qualify. Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Apr 1, 2028
- If a social media ban for children has been enacted in the European Union after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If a social media ban for children has been enacted in the European Union after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.