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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Geopolitics
  3. Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

One-OffGeopoliticsEurope6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 7%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$5.2

Liquidity

$20.5K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Dec 8, 25, 12:12 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes7%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,654.97+1.84%EthereumETH$1,653.42+1.25%SolanaSOL$64.97+1.00%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.15%XRPXRP$1.11+0.05%BNBBNB$596.01+1.56%

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.