PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored reference
No 97%
No 97%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$27.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
15
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Dec 8, 25, 12:12 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
Book received (not venue quote time): —
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European Union (EU) member state withdraws from the EU by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An EU member state will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.