Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 64.9%
Yes 64.9%Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 48 minutes ago
LaggingFeb 7, 25, 8:18 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 3:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
AUKUS is a trilateral security pact between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States, announced in September 2021.
- The agreement includes provisions for the U.S. and UK to help Australia acquire nuclear-powered submarines and collaborate on advanced military technologies.
- The deal is valued at approximately $368 billion and is considered a key strategic alliance to counter China's influence in the Indo-Pacific region.
- Trump has previously expressed support for AUKUS through his administration, with incoming Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirming Trump's backing of the pact.
- However, Trump has a history of threatening to withdraw from or renegotiate international agreements, including NATO commitments and defense arrangements with South Korea and Japan.
- Resolution Criteria
