PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 91.1%
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$198.2
Liquidity
$9.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
5
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 10:16 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any Canadian province announce a $19+ minimum wage in 2026?
KalshiWill Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?
KalshiWill California prisoners be required to make minimum wage by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mamdani raise property taxes?
KalshiWill the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?
Manifold MarketsWill a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?
Manifold MarketsRules
Zohran Mamdani has proposed raising New York City's minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
- Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
- A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier.
- The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 9%. Quotes span about 2 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 9% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread