Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
1.0 pts (24h)YearlyPoliticsUS PoliticsElection5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 90.1%+0.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$751.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 10:16 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes10%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall80% match · verified | Medium | 88% | +76pt | $7.8 | $3.9K | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 91% | +79pt | $0 | $751.2 | 20 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
5.9 pts5mo
88%
+5.9pt12%
51 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$17.9K
24h Vol$7.8
KALSHIRules
Zohran Mamdani has proposed raising New York City's minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
- Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
- A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier.
- The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$15Jul 224d of dataJul 26
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Zohran Mamdani has proposed raising New York City's minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
- Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
- A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier.
- The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe.