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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

YearlyPoliticsUS Politics6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 11%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$10.9K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

8.0% / 14.0%

Spread

75.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Nov 5, 25, 10:27 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes11%

KalshiAlso available on Kalshi

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

2.0%6mo
Yes
Yes
+2.0%12%
No
No
88%
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$172.8
24h Vol$0.1
KalshiKALSHI

Rules

Zohran Mamdani has proposed raising New York City's minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030.

Polymarket
  • You can read more about that here: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
  • Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
  • A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier.
  • The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

Zohran Mamdani has proposed raising New York City's minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030.

Polymarket
  • You can read more about that here: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
  • Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
  • A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier.
  • The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe.