Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
4.4 pts (24h)RegulationOne-OffPoliticsUS Politics3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 93%
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$201.2
Liquidity
$3.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.2% / 8.2%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
If a bill establishing a minimum wage of at least $30 per hour for New York City set to go in effect 2030 or earlier has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:City of New Yorkthe Office of Mayor of New York CityNew York City Councilmajor newspapers in New York Citythe Federal RegisterThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
- For standard legislation requiring executive approval, this includes final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods.
- For legislation not requiring executive approval, this includes final passage and completion of required waiting periods.
- For constitutional amendments, this includes passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes.
- For executive orders, this includes official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 9%. Quotes span about 2 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 9% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027??
- Kalshi prices No at 93% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? resolve?
- Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a bill establishing a minimum wage of at least $30 per hour for New York City set to go in effect 2030 or earlier has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.