Will the UK raise the minimum income requirement for family visas above £40,000 before 2027?
PoliticsQuarterlyRegulation2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 88%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleJul 21, 25, 10:31 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
AI Generated description, reviewed by me
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before 23:59 GMT on December 31, 2026, the UK Home Office formally enacts a minimum income threshold above £40,000 for sponsoring a partner, spouse, or family member under the Family visa route (Appendix FM) of the Immigration Rules.
- - The change must be legally binding and published in official government documentation, such as:
- - Updates to the Immigration Rules on gov.uk,
- - Statutory instruments,