KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityCredit-card routing competition 6%+5.0%Leader of 30 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$265K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.1% / 7.0%
Spread
536.4%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jan 23, 26, 3:00 AMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Credit-card routing competition6%
Compare venues· Housing for the 21st Century Act
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 100% | 0pt | $2.3K | $265K | 14 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket90% match · verified | Medium | 100% | 0pt | $5 | $26.4K | 14 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Which bills will become law in 2026?
29.7%5mo
100%
+2.0%39%
-0.5%33%
+11 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$142.3K
24h Vol$5
POLYMARKETRules
If legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49).
- A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.
- Clarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that "authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom," even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.
- If legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.1k69.0%KALSHIROTOR Act — No8d ago
KALSHIROTOR Act — No8d agoVolume trend
$2.3kJul 213d of dataJul 14
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If legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49).
- A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.
- Clarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that "authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom," even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.
- If legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.